Tag Archive for: real estate investing

Affordability in Real Estate in 2021 vs 2023 (and Why It Matters)

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$1.2 million of real estate in 2021. How much will it go for in 2023?

The real estate circle of life:

  • Interest rates change affordability.
  • Affordability changes buying power.
  • Buying power changes the profitability of your investments.

Knowing past and future interest rates, affordability, and buying power will help you make informed decisions about your next real estate purchase.

For reference, let’s work out some examples of affordability for real estate in 2021 compared to 2023.

Purchasing Power for Real Estate in 2021 for $1,000 Payment

If we had a buyer who could afford a payment of $1,000 today, they could buy a $150,000 home. 

Just a year ago, buyers could get interest rates at 3% or lower. So in 2021, this buyer would have a purchasing power of $252,000.

That same buyer, in 2023, is anticipated to have a purchasing power of only $124,000.

Purchasing Power for Real Estate in 2021 for $5,000 Payment

If another buyer was going to buy a $750k house in 2022 at a 7% interest rate, what was their purchasing power in 2021?

For the same $5,000 payment, someone in 2021 could afford a $1.2 million house! In 2023, that payment could only get a $620,000 property.

How Affordability Impacts Sellers

As an investor, it’s wise to keep this reality in mind: 

In a matter of two years, someone can go from being able to afford a $1.2 million house to a $600,000 one. 

With no change in income. No change in qualifications. No change in credit score. The only change is how interest rates impact payment.

Although affordability changes so drastically in a short amount of time, mindset does not. People will still expect the quality of their previous higher price point while they’re looking at homes in their current lower price point.

In addition to focusing on the numbers of your flip, you also have to obsess on quality. If buyers don’t see the quality they expect, they’ll either stay in their current home, or find another property on the market that won’t need any fixes.

Read the full article here.

Watch the video here:

https://youtu.be/-Q_jNTQQzyo

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No Cash Flow on a Property? Here Are Your Best Loan Options

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What kind of loans can you get when you have no cash flow on a property?

You have a flip. The only way it will sell is at a steep loss. Carry costs are draining thousands from your bank. What’s your other option? Turn it into a rental.

This is a typical scenario where you end up with no cash flow on a property. Rent isn’t set up as a source of cash flow here. Rather, it’s a last-ditch effort to hold a house in a bad market.

Let’s look over your options for loans if you have no cash flow on a property.

Why You’d Need a Loan for No Cash Flow on a Property

There are a couple other common reasons real estate investors need a negative cash flow loan on their properties:

  • The property can’t be rented yet, so there’s $0 coming in.
  • People want to lock in an interest rate. Although rates are much higher than they were earlier this year, they’re still anticipated to rise another 4 or 5% in the next year or so. Properties that are in a bad spot now will only get worse and worse. Opting for certain, planned payments now over uncertain future ones is choosing the lesser of two evils.
  • If a property has equity but no cash flow, you can get money from that equity by using a loan. We’ve helped people get cash to put back into their real estate investments or business this way.
  • Banks might start calling loans soon. So a new loan for a property that isn’t cash flowing could keep you out of an uncomfortable payoff on the old loan.

Overall, flip owners want to get locked in to a longer-term loan before it’s too late. Banks are tightening more and more. Soon, they’ll turn down loans for properties that don’t cash flow, or refuse to extend their loans.

Working with a property that isn’t cash flowing comes down to one question: How can I get certainty while I wait out the next two or three years?

Best Loan Options for Negatively Cash-Flowing Properties

There are three main types of loans you can get for a property that doesn’t cash flow: traditional, bridge, or DSCR loans.

Using a Traditional Loan for a Property That Isn’t Cash Flowing

You can still get into a traditional loan in this market for a property that doesn’t cash flow.

This could look like a 30-year fixed Fannie or Freddy, or even a regular bank loan. Many banks are offering, three, five, or seven year fixed products. That term length could get you past the anticipated market downturn, into an environment where rates start improving.

Bridge Loans for No Cash Flow Properties

Bridge loans span just one or two years. These loans are fast, flexible, and easy, but they’ll likely cost you more money.

Additionally, you’ll have to be careful about the length of a bridge loan for your non-cash-flowing property. One or two years won’t guarantee to carry you into a time of better interest rates.

No-Ratio DSCR Loans

DSCR loans are designed for properties with rental payments. To use a DSCR loan, you don’t necessarily need to have active rent income on the property. DSCRs can be based off the market rent for the area of the property, rather than the literal rent income.

Read the full article here.

Watch the video here:

https://youtu.be/AQ-zcRBQB9c

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How to 10X Your Net Worth and Cash Flow

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There really is a secret to 10x your net worth and cash flow…

The true “secret” to generational wealth is buying at the right time, then… letting the market take care of itself.

Let’s map out the possibilities if you buy properties while interest is high and prices low, then wait.

Past Client Success 10x-ing Net Worth

Back in 2010, we helped two families who were particularly successful buy 10 properties each using the BRRRR method.

After 12 years, each of the properties they purchased in 2010 either tripled or quadrupled in value. The rents tripled.

This worked because they bought smart and played the waiting game. They purchased with high rates and low prices, then refinanced once the rates flipped low and values high.

Your Future Success with 10x Net Worth

Let’s say you buy 10 properties in 2023 while rates are high and prices low. Then you hold until the market flips for you – low rates and high values.

You can capture $90k-$100k in equity when the market flips back. Ten properties would add almost $1 million to your net worth.

When you add an extra $500/month in cash flow through a well-timed refinance, that makes for an extra $6,000 in your pocket per year. Multiplied by 10 properties? $60k/year.

All this – just for buying when no one else is buying. Buying when rates are high, values are low, and letting the market correct itself. 

Your Plan to Buy Real Estate in 2023

Buying low with high interest rates, waiting, and pulling in the generational wealth. It’s possible with real estate in 2023.

Want to build a game plan for kickstarting your generational wealth next year? Have a deal now you want us to run the numbers on? Send us an email at Info@TheCashFlowCompany.com.

Read the full article here.

Watch the video here:

https://youtu.be/I5jRjQvHJhk

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BRRRR Strategy Explained: Why These Properties 10x Your Net Worth

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Buying on-market properties is a money-suck for real estate investors. Here’s why to use the BRRRR strategy instead.

There are a lot of ways to mess up the BRRRR method.

But when you understand it right, this real estate strategy creates cash flow and net worth almost out of thin air.

We want to put the power of BRRRR in your hands. This is the start of a series walking through the BRRRR process step-by-step.

Let’s begin with the fundamental idea behind BRRRR – the thing that gives this method its money-making magic. How does the BRRRR strategy create cash flow out of seemingly nothing?

BRRRR Property vs Buying Retail

This is the basic concept behind real estate investing. There are two types of real estate properties:

  • Retail – When we think of a house as “on the market,” it’s a retail property. These houses are sold at market price, a cost determined by current market conditions. In real estate, this includes supply, demand, location, interest rates, and a number of other factors.
  • Undermarket – Properties that might be considered “off-market” are sold at an under-market price. There’s something preventing the house from being sold at market value as-is. The home could be outdated, damaged, foreclosed, or suffering from some other condition.

To break down exactly why and how BRRRR works, we need to look at the difference between buying retail and buying under-market as an investor.

Buying Retail with the BRRRR Strategy Doesn’t Work

The problem with buying retail as an investor is the house comes with no equity.

Let’s say you buy a property worth $400,000 (listed for that amount). With a conventional loan, the lender will cover up to 80% of the cost of the house. So you’ll need to put down 20%.

When you purchase the house and make the down payment, you’re transferring wealth, not creating it. You’re taking the money from your financial account and transferring it to the physical property.

So, you’ve moved $80,000 into the house, got a loan for $320,000, and created no additional wealth from the transaction.

There are three main disadvantages to retail properties:

  • The property may create cash flow or wealth in the future as a rental property, but there is no wealth created from the purchase.
  • You’ll require money up-front (in this case, $80,000 plus closing costs).
  • You can only repeat BRRRR retail properties as long as you have the money to fund them.

Buying Under-Market for BRRRR

True BRRRR properties, however, solve all three of those problems retail properties have. A BRRRR property:

  • Creates equity & cash flow immediately (and over time).
  • Can be done with zero money down.
  • Is a repeatable process.

BRRRR is all about buying under-market properties – the houses that are unwanted and unloved. In this market going into 2023, a lot of these types of homes will pop up, resulting in some great deals.

BRRRR Purchase

There are certainly some nuances to BRRRR, but let’s look at the bare basics. Let’s take the same example used for the retail property.

You, again, buy a property with a value of $400,000. However, since it’s valued under-market, you can purchase it for only $250,000.

The catch is that the house isn’t necessarily worth the $400k as-is. The potential is there, but you’ll have to update and rehab it. Between those fix-up costs and the closing costs, you’ll have to put $50,000 more into the property.

So the total cost of the property ends up being $300,000, or just 75% of the value of the home.

Cost of the BRRRR Strategy

That 75% number is not only realistic but recommended for BRRRR properties. In down markets, it’s not entirely uncommon to see houses at 65% or below.

In this example, our all-in price (purchase + closing + rehab) is $300k, and the property is worth $400k.

Right away, we’ve created $100,000 in net worth.

Retail vs BRRRR: The Numbers

Now that we’ve explained the initial numbers, let’s do a side-by-side comparison to see why BRRRR is powerful enough to create generational wealth.

  • Value: We’re comparing two homes with the same value – same neighborhood, same block, same size. Let’s say the value is $400k.
  • Loan: For the BRRRR, our total costs would add up to $300k. Our leverage 100% covers this amount. For the retail home, we could get an 80% LTV, so our remaining loan is $320k. On retail, we have less cash flow because we owe more money.
  • Cash Transfer: With BRRRR, you’re moving $0 of your own money. This is why properties with the BRRRR strategy are so popular for investors. With the retail property in our example, you need to transfer $80k of your money as a down payment. 

There are two problems with the cash transfer requirement in retail properties. 1) You need the cash to get into it. And, 2) The last “R” in BRRRR is repeat, so you’d have to have $80k again for your next property and your next. On under-market BRRRR properties, the zero out-of-pocket costs free you up to repeat the process over and over.

  • Payments: BRRRR payments will be lower than retail payments by about $25-$50/month, simply because the loan amount is lower.
  • WEALTH: The BRRRR strategy property immediately creates $100k. The retail property adds $0. It only has the loan + the $80k that was yours to begin with.

BRRRR Strategy Explained: Why These Properties 10x Your Net Worth

How BRRRR Creates Wealth

The wealth in BRRRR comes from the difference between the value of the property and what you owe on it. This usually ends up being 25% of the value of the home.

If you multiply this process by 5-10 properties? You’ve suddenly got half a million to a million dollars in net worth.

Using the BRRRR strategy like this isn’t just wishful thinking. In 2010, we helped multiple families buy 10 properties in one year using this method. Many of their properties tripled and quadrupled in value over the last 10+ years.

The 2023 market is shaping up to look a lot like 2010. The time to buy is coming soon.

Using the BRRRR Strategy

Thinking about testing the BRRRR strategy for yourself?

We’ll be walking through the entire BRRRR process over the next few weeks. BRRRR is a simple way to generate wealth – but only if you really understand how the process works!

Send us an email at Info@TheCashFlowCompany.com if you have any questions. Check out our YouTube channel for more free information on BRRRR and other real estate investing strategies.

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How to Calculate the Certainty of a Real Estate Investment

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What’s worse: Paying money for an unknown amount of time? Or paying with certainty on a real estate investment?

A flip stuck on a market like the current one is a death knell for your profit.

The question is: do you keep paying carry costs in hopes of a higher sell price? Or do you cut your losses and move on in your real estate career?

Here’s our take on the dilemma.

What Is Certainty in Real Estate Investing?

Certainty in real estate investing is about coming up with a conclusion. This conclusion is whatever path:

  • Gets the property somehow moving along.
  • Offers the least out-of-pocket cost for the client.
  • Provides a clean slate to get them back on track to take advantage of the upcoming better market.

Certainty in Real Estate Investing by Taking a Short

In a market like this, you often end up with two options:

  1. Continue paying carry costs, with no sale in sight.
  2. Sell at a loss, for certainty about how much you’ll lose and the freedom to move on.

Taking the first option involves high monthly payments for 6-9 months, or longer. Once the end is finally in sight, it’s possible you’ll find out you’ll have to pay even more and take a huge loss anyway.

With the second option, you accept what the market is giving you. You take the short, then you move on. Money will still be lost, but the timeline of the payouts has a clear end. It becomes certain.

The first option is a gamble with the cards stacked against you. The second option is a clean slate to start fresh.

If you’re trying to find the best route to certainty for your property, we’ll go over some examples. You can follow along with the numbers for your own situation. Running these numbers will help you find out if it’s smart to opt for certainty in your real estate investment.

How to Calculate the Certainty of a Real Estate Investment

One client owed (and were paying interest on) $600,000 for their loan. When they first took out this loan in early 2022, they were expecting to sell the property within a month or two for $800,000+.

This property was supposed to be a quick cleanup – get in, get out, and make a quick couple hundred thousand dollars. Then the market changed, especially for higher price point homes in their area.

Now, five months later, they’re desperate to get out of the property.

What Is the Cost of Certainty?

If sold now in the current market, they could get $570,000.

That’s $230k less than they had originally hoped to get for this property – enough of a gut-punch as-is. But to sell for $30,000 less than you owe on the loan itself? Not ideal.

Although selling right now would mean a $30,000 loss for this client… At least that number is certain.

They’ve already spent close to that much on carry costs alone since purchasing the property. If they can’t get a better price for another several months… Which option is more worth it?

Would you rather lose $30k for sure? Or pay dollar signs with question marks and no end in sight?

How Do You Pay for the Loss?

So, say you’re in this client’s position, and you’ve decided to sell for $570k. How do you go about paying off the remaining $30,000?

 In this specific instance, we as a lender worked flexibly with our client. Since they were already locked into making payments indefinitely, we trusted them to also pay in a definite amount of time. So we put a term on the remaining $30k for the same payment amount.

Now, the client has the property out of their hands and a much smaller loan to pay off. They will make the same payments as they were on the larger loan, and they could pay the full loan off in 5 months and be done with it.

$30,000 isn’t a little money. Five months isn’t a short amount of time. But paying that much for certainty can beat paying 2x or 3x as much for uncertainty in this market.

What If Your Lender Isn’t Flexible?

Most lenders will be open to working something out with you. They want certainty, too. It does them good in the long-term for you to get this property out from over your head.

Opting for a shorter term loan is a great way for a lender to clear the decks and get ready for the next wave of great purchases.

However, even if your lender is unwilling to work out a shorter term, you still have a couple options for paying off the loan when you sell at a loss:

  • Cash – The obvious answer is you pull this cash right out of your own bank account. Not everyone has that luxury (or wants to take that path if they do), so there are a few other options.
  • Private money – In a bind like this, the flexibility of OPM is useful. If you borrow money from family, friends, or people in REI groups in your area, you can pay them back at a rate better than they’d get in the stock market or a bank right now.
  • Gap funding – You could also do a lien on another property to provide some gap funding. If your original lender won’t do this, we can help.
  • Use another lender – If the property’s original lender won’t agree to a short-term loan, someone else might.

Read the full article here.

Watch the video here:

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Interest-Only Loan Part 2: Calculating the Paydown Payment

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The basics on calculating the paydown payment on the amortization part of an interest-only loan.

There are two parts to an interest-only loan. Part one is just interest, and part two is the paydown, or amortization.

You never have to wait to get to the paydown in order to refinance your interest-only loan. Some investors refinance the same interest-only property over and over before ever getting to the paydown part.

But it’s important to know the numbers even if you don’t want to keep an interest-only loan until the paydown. Here are the basics of calculating 30-year and 40-year interest only loans.

 

Calculating The Paydown

The interest-only portion of an interest-only loan lasts for a set number of years. For example, let’s say ours lasts 10 years.

The paydown period is when the loan starts amortizing – the actual amount borrowed starts going down. However, you’ll still need to pay normal interest along with the principal payment.

With most lenders, you’ll get either a 30-year or 40-year loan. A 30-year interest-only loan would involve 10 years of just interest, plus 20 years of paydown. For a 40-year, you’d have 30 years’ worth of amortization payments.

A 30-year loan’s payments will be higher because you’re paying the same amount off in a shorter period of time.

Calculating a Paydown Payment Example

Let’s break down the difference between a 30-year and 40-year interest-only loan.

30-year loan = 10 years interest, then 20 years of amortization

40-year loan = 10 years interest, then 30 years amortization

You can use an amortization calculator tool to figure your monthly payments for the paydown period.

Let’s look at an example for a $300,000 interest-only loan. The paydown period payments would be:

30-year =  10 years of $2,000/month + 20 years of $2,509/month

40-year =  10 years of $2,000/month + 30 years of $2,201/month

Remember that you’re never locked into paying a full interest-only loan. An interest-only loan may be worth looking into for your property. Especially if you need a product with lower monthly payments while you wait out rising interest rates.

Help with Interest-Only Loans

Have questions about interest-only loans, or calculating your paydown payment? Is there a deal you’d like us to take a look at?

We search hundreds of loans every month – now is a great time of variety in loan products. We’d love to help you find exactly what you need.

Email us at Info@TheCashFlowCompany.com.

Read the full article here.

Watch the video here:

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How To Calculate Affordability in Real Estate Investing

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Home prices are decided by what buyers can afford. Here’s how to calculate affordability. 

As an investor, you have to understand where prices are now and where they’ll be in a few months. 

If you buy a property now, then 4 to 6 months from now is when you’ll either be selling as a flip or appraising for refinance.

For medium-priced homes and below, purchases are mainly based on affordability. Interest rates dictate affordability. Affordability dictates the value of homes.

So let’s look at the numbers. We’ll use an example of a homebuyer who can afford a $1,000 monthly payment right now at the end of 2022.

How to Calculate Affordability – The Payment

Affordability is the monthly payment a buyer can afford. This number is determined by:

  • The buyer’s financial comfort.
  • The income and budget of the buyer.
  • And most importantly: the lender’s qualification requirements.

Many buyers would feel comfortable paying a higher monthly amount, but they’re restricted by their lender. Affordability is a major factor in the loan approval process. Buyers in the mid- to low-price range only get approved for one monthly number, regardless of market conditions or property values.

How Affordability Changes Buying Power – The Price

Interest rates are currently at a 7% average. Only being able to afford a $1,000 payment, this buyer could qualify for a $150,000 home. The $150k is their “purchasing power.”

But interest rates are expected to increase to 8% next year. What happens for this buyer then?

When interest rates rise, purchasing power falls. This buyer still only qualifies for a $1,000 payment, but at an 8% rate, they can only afford a $136,000 house.

What if rates rise to a whopping 9%? Buying power for this buyer decreases to $124,000.

A $124,000 house with a $1,000 payment may not be realistic in many markets today. You have to see what the current environment is in your area, and base your numbers on current interest rates and property values.

How Affordability Impacts the Seller

Affordability doesn’t just impact the buyer; it should also change your expectations as a real estate investor. With higher interest rates, affordability will drop. You have to take this into account when you’re buying properties in this market.

If you buy a house right now in the 7% market, you expect it to sell for $150k. However, you need to keep changing interest rates and affordability in mind. In 6 months when you’re ready to sell, interest rates may be at 8% and your list price will sink to $124k.

Each time interest rates rise by 1%, prices drop by a little over 9%. When interest rates go up 2%, there’s a 17.3% drop in values.

Rates when you’re buying matter less to price than rates when you go to sell. You need to anticipate where rates will go. If rates rise 1-2%, you have to account for affordability.

This balancing of affordability and buying power is one of the biggest factors in home pricing. The majority of people buy based on payments and affordability. Their payments are not going to change despite price changes.

Read the full article here.

Watch the video here:

https://youtu.be/-Q_jNTQQzyo

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How Interest Rates Impact Affordability (and Your Cash Flow!)

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Buying low and selling high all comes down to interest rates’ impact on affordability. Here’s what that means.

Building generational wealth with real estate depends on leveraging buyer affordability.

Interest rates and prices work like a seesaw. When interest rates go up, affordability and buying power go down, so prices go down. When interest rates come down, buyers can afford higher payments, so prices re-inflate.

So, where will we be in 2023, and how will prices play out? Interest rates are projected to be 8% – the highest they’ve been in years. Let’s look at an example of this seesaw effect.

Interest Rates’ Impact on Affordability

We’ll use 8% as an example, since that’s the projected average for next year. (But this math will work whether your interest rate is 7%, 10%, etc.).

Let’s say our buyer can afford a $250,000 house with an 8% interest rate. We can calculate that their monthly payments would be $1,834.

That monthly payment amount is important. We tend to think of a buyer’s budget as the purchase price they can afford. But really, a buyer’s budget is the monthly payment they can afford.

Even if a buyer is willing to pay a higher purchase price with high interest rates, their lender may stop them. A buyer qualifies for a loan based on the affordability of the monthly payment.

For an interest rate of 8% in 2023, buying power looks like this:

You can plug any numbers you want into this formula to figure out affordability.

For example, let’s say interest rates are 9%. The affordability doesn’t change – our buyer could still only swing a $1,834/month payment. Therefore, this homebuyer’s buying power goes down to $228,000.

Cash Flow with High Interest Rates

As you can see, the higher the interest rate, the lower the price. This is why you should buy while interest rates are high. 

Prices will be lower than they have in a while. The challenge is that high interest rates make generating cash flow on properties more difficult. However, even if your rental property only breaks even every month – that’s fine for right now. 

A little temporary cash flow loss is worth it when you’re on the path to generational wealth. When interest rates come back down, cash flow will accelerate through the roof.

Let’s flash forward our 2023 example a few years in the future.

Building Equity when Interest Rates Impact Affordability

Say we bought that $250k house at 8% in 2023. Three or four years later, the market has stabilized. More money is flowing in the economy and in real estate, driving interest rates back down. Inflation has calmed down to normal levels. Now, let’s say the average interest rate is down to 5%.

What’s the affordability of that 5% rate with our buyer who could qualify for a $1,834/month payment? Now, they can qualify for a $341,000 house.

That means the house you bought for $250k in 2023 could be worth $341k by 2027. This one property could create $91,000 in equity.

Of course, this isn’t a guaranteed timeline or number. But we know it’s close. Real estate operates with the seesaw of rates and prices, affordability and payments.

Refinancing Once Rates Fall

So you have $91,000 in extra equity. But here’s where the cash flow starts to kick in: You can now refinance the property from an 8% rate to 5%.

Your original loan will be down to about $245,000 after 4 years of $1,834 monthly payments. Refinancing $245k at the new 5% interest rate makes for monthly payments of $1,315.

This refinance would increase your monthly cash flow by $519.

Multiply that by 12 months in a year. By 10 more properties… And you’re on the track to generational wealth.

Read the full article here.

Watch the video here:

https://youtu.be/I5jRjQvHJhk

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Interest-Only Loan Part 1: Calculating the Interest-Only Payment

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Will an IO loan really save you money? Find out by calculating the interest-only payment.

There are two parts to an interest-only loan. Part one is just interest, and part two is the paydown, or amortization.

Typically, the interest-only period is 5 or 10 years where your only cost is interest. You aren’t required to pay down the principal at all during that time. So for, say, 10 years, you pay interest, but your loan amount stays the same.

Keep in mind, with an interest-only loan, you always have the option to pay down the principal. These loans typically don’t come with a prepayment fee.

Calculating Interest-Only Payment Example

Find the numbers relevant to your deals, and you can follow along by calculating the interest-only payment. You might need a loan for $500,000, or maybe just $100,000. For our example, we’ll use $300,000 as our loan amount.

The interest-only phase of interest-only DSCR loans uses one simple formula.

First, multiply the loan amount by the interest rate. This gives you the yearly interest. Divide that number by 12 (for the 12 months in a year) to get your monthly payment. The formula looks like this:

Loan Amount x Interest Rate = Yearly Interest

Yearly Interest ÷ 12 = Monthly Interest

We’ll use 8% as our example interest rate. So our equation would be:

$300,000 × .08 = $24,000

$24,000 ÷ 12 = $2,000

As long as you don’t pay down any principal during the interest-only period, your payments will be $2,000/month. This $2,000 goes directly to the bank. Your loan amount will remain $300,000, unless you choose to make an extra payment toward the principal.

Calculating the Interest-Only Payment While Paying Principal

Every time you opt into a principal payment during the interest-only period, your monthly payment changes.

For example, let’s say you pay down $20,000 from your loan, leaving the total loan amount as $280,000. You can re-use the previous formula with this new loan amount to get your new monthly payment:

$280,000 × .08 = $22,400

$22,400 ÷ 12 = $1,866

If you chose to pay down your principal by $20,000, your new monthly payment of interest would be $1,866.

How Annual Interest Works on Interest-Only Loans

Don’t let the idea of “annual” interest trip you up. For these interest-only DSCR loans, interest isn’t calculated once from January to December. Instead, the bank will do this formula each month for your loan using your current principal.

Remember that this interest is your monthly loan payment, but it is not your property’s total monthly expenses. If your loan is a DSCR, you also have to consider taxes, insurance, and HOA fees to know your actual monthly expenses.

Pros of Interest-Only Loans

There are two major advantages of interest-only loans:

  • Cash Flow – Interest-only loans lower your payments, which makes for less money out and more money in. With the interest-only period, you can do deals that would never work with a typical loan payment.
  • Flexible Refinance – You can refinance most interest-only loans at any time (dependent on the lender’s prepay policy). It can be a great strategy to use an interest-only loan for the next four or five years while rates are high. When rates come back down, you can refinance into another loan product that will build equity.

Read the full article here.

Watch the video here:

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This Is How To Determine Home Prices in 2023

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Where is buying power going? How do you determine home prices in 2023?

This is the perfect time to start real estate investing. Great properties are available. …As long as you understand how to price them for the current market.

The good news is, real estate prices aren’t a complete guessing game. Supply, demand, and other circumstances do factor in. Ultimately, however, everything consumers buy is based on affordability, not necessarily price. 

For example, someone who could afford a $10,000 car could also afford a $30,000 car – as long as the financing worked out to be the same monthly payments.

Let’s go over the simple math of how this idea of affordability affects real estate, especially in 2023.

How to Determine Home Prices in 2023 (and Payments!)

As an investor, you have to understand where prices are now and where they’ll be in a few months. If you buy a property now, 4 to 6 months from now is when you’ll either be selling as a flip or appraising for refinance.

For medium-priced homes and below, purchases are mainly based on affordability. Interest rates dictate affordability. Affordability dictates the value of homes.

So let’s look at the numbers. We’ll use an example of a homebuyer who can afford a $1,000 monthly payment right now at the end of 2022.

Affordability – The Payment

Affordability is the monthly payment a buyer can afford. This number is determined by:

  • The buyer’s financial comfort.
  • The income and budget of the buyer.
  • And most importantly: the lender’s qualification requirements.

Many buyers would feel comfortable paying a higher monthly amount, but they’re restricted by their lender. Affordability is a major factor in the loan approval process. Buyers in the mid- to low-price range only get approved for one monthly number, regardless of market conditions or property values.

Buying Power – The Price

Interest rates are currently at a 7% average. Only being able to afford a $1,000 payment, this buyer could qualify for a $150,000 home. The $150k is their “purchasing power.”

But interest rates are expected to increase to 8% next year. What happens for this buyer then?

When interest rates rise, purchasing power falls. This buyer still only qualifies for a $1,000 payment, but at an 8% rate, they can only afford a $136,000 house.

What if rates rise to a whopping 9%? Buying power for this buyer decreases to $124,000.

A $124,000 house with a $1,000 payment may not be realistic in many markets today. You have to see what the current environment is in your area, and base your numbers on current interest rates and property values.

Affordability and Buying Power Impact the Seller

Affordability doesn’t just impact the buyer; it should also change your expectations as a real estate investor. With higher interest rates, affordability will drop. You have to take this into account when you’re buying properties in this market.

If you buy a house right now in the 7% market, you expect it to sell for $150k. However, you need to keep changing interest rates and affordability in mind. In 6 months when you’re ready to sell, interest rates may be at 8% and your list price will sink to $124k.

Each time interest rates rise by 1%, prices drop by a little over 9%. When interest rates go up 2%, there’s a 17.3% drop in values.

Rates when you’re buying matter less to price than rates when you go to sell. You need to anticipate where rates will go. If rates rise 1-2%, you have to account for affordability.

This balancing of affordability and buying power is one of the biggest factors in home pricing. The majority of people buy based on payments and affordability. Their payments are not going to change despite price changes.

Home Prices in 2023 for a Higher Price Point

To show how affordability and buying power work at any price point, let’s go over an example with a $750,000 property.

If a buyer was looking at a $750k home in 2022 at a 7% interest rate, their payment would be $4,990. Their affordability (the monthly payment they’ve qualified for) is $4,990. So if interest rates change, the home price they can afford will go down.

For example, if rates go to 8%, their buying power drops to $680,000.

At 9%, they can only afford a $620,000 house. 

Make sure you understand where rates are projected to be in the future. The profitability of both flips and rentals are dependent on these rates.

As of right now in late 2022, rates are expected to continually increase – potentially up to 9-10%.

Comparing Home Prices in 2021 – 2023

Knowing past and future interest rates, affordability, and buying power will help you make informed decisions about your next real estate purchase.

For reference, let’s work out some examples of purchasing power for a homebuyer in 2021.

Purchasing Power in 2021 for $1,000 Payment

If we had a buyer who could afford a payment of $1,000 today, they could buy a $150,000 home. 

Just a year ago, buyers could get interest rates at 3% or lower. So in 2021, this buyer would have a purchasing power of $252,000.

That same buyer, in 2023, is anticipated to have a purchasing power of only $124,000.

Purchasing Power in 2021 for $5,000 Payment

If another buyer was going to buy a $750k house in 2022 at a 7% interest rate, what was their purchasing power in 2021?

For the same $5,000 payment, someone in 2021 could afford a $1.2 million house! In 2023, that payment could only get a $620,000 property.

How Purchasing Power Impacts Sellers

As an investor, it’s wise to keep this reality in mind: 

In a matter of two years, someone can go from being able to afford a $1.2 million house to a $600,000 one. 

With no change in income. No change in qualifications. No change in credit score. The only change is how interest rates impact payment.

Although affordability changes so drastically in a short amount of time, mindset does not. People will still expect the quality of their previous higher price point while they’re looking at homes in their current lower price point.

In addition to focusing on the numbers of your flip, you also have to obsess on quality. If buyers don’t see the quality they expect, they’ll either stay in their current home, or find another property on the market that won’t need any fixes.

Buying Now to Sell at the Home Prices in 2023

Going forward in 2022 and 2023, you need to look at affordability. The US buys on payments, so your prices need to be adjusted to buyers’ affordability.

If you have any questions on how to price properties, or have a deal you’d like us to look at, reach out. Email us at Info@HardMoneyMike.com. 

And be sure to check out our YouTube channel for more information on real estate investing.

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