Real Estate Market: What’s Happening with Interest Rates?

Today we are going to discuss what’s happening with interest rates. Interest rates are the heartbeat of the real estate market, and they’ve been anything but predictable lately. Whether you’re an investor eyeing DSCR loans or tackling fix-and-flip projects, understanding rate trends is key to making smart moves. Let’s dive into what’s driving these shifts, how to keep track, and what it all means for your next investment.

Why Are Rates So Unpredictable?

You may have heard about the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates. However, those cuts don’t directly lower real estate loan rates. Instead, the real estate market relies heavily on treasury yields.

• DSCR loans align with the 5-year Treasury note.
• Conventional loans follow the 10-year Treasury note.

This means your rates depend on how these treasuries perform, not just on what the Fed decides.

What’s Happening Right Now?

DSCR Loans: Small Dips, Then Jumps

DSCR loan rates have seen slight drops, or “micro dips”, lasting a week or two before climbing again. These rates typically start with the 5-year Treasury yield and add about 2.75%.

For example:

• If the 5-year Treasury is 4.3%, DSCR loan rates may land around 7% for 75-80% loan-to-value (LTV) loans.

Conventional Loans: Higher Add-Ons

Conventional loans, commonly used for fix-and-flip projects, work similarly. Add about 2-3 points to the 10-year Treasury rate to estimate rates.

For example:

• A 10-year Treasury yield of 4.41% could result in rates around 6.5% to 7.5% for borrowers.

Why Are Rates Moving This Way?

Two key factors drive rate changes:

1. Inflation Worries
   Investors in treasuries expect higher yields when inflation feels uncertain. This increases borrowing costs for everyone.
2. US Treasury Supply
   As the government issues more treasury bonds, buyers demand higher interest rates. The market adjusts to balance supply and demand.

What’s Next for 2024?

Experts expect rates to bounce within a predictable range:

• DSCR Loans: Mid-6% to low-7%.
• Conventional Loans: High-5% to mid-7%.

If you’re investing, watch for those micro dips. When they happen, it’s time to lock in a rate quickly.

How to Monitor Rates

Want to track interest rates like a pro? Here are two simple ways:

1. Check Treasury Yields
   Search for “today’s 5-year Treasury rate” or “10-year Treasury rate” on Google. Websites like MarketWatch show up-to-date rates and trends.
2. Sign Up for Weekly Updates
   The Cash Flow Company offers a free Mortgage Report to help investors track changes. We even notify you when rates hit your target.

Be Prepared for Rate Fluctuations

Interest rates are unpredictable, but that doesn’t mean you have to be caught off guard. By tracking trends and understanding the factors, you can make smarter decisions for your real estate investments.

Want to know when rates hit your sweet spot? Join our A-List, and we’ll notify you when they do. Sign up below to stay in the know!

Take Control of Your Investments Today.

Stay informed, act quickly, and secure the best rates for your deals. Let’s make 2024 a successful year together!

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