Tag Archive for: interest rates

This Is Why You Should Buy Real Estate in 2023

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Fastest route to generational wealth? Buy real estate in 2023.

2023 will be a great time to buy real estate.

When a recession hits, when interest rates are high… that’s where you create generational wealth.

Let’s look at the math and past examples to prove it.

We’ll go through the market mechanics behind buying in 2023. Plus, we’ll review the success our clients had during the last recession (and show how you can do the same).

The Secret Behind Generational Wealth with Real Estate in 2023

Building generational wealth with real estate depends on interest rates. Let’s run through the math of how it all works.

Interest rates and prices work like a seesaw. When interest rates go up, affordability and buying power go down, so prices go down. When interest rates come down, buyers can afford higher payments, so prices re-inflate.

So, where will we be in 2023, and how will prices play out? Interest rates are projected to be 8% – the highest they’ve been in years. Let’s look at an example of this seesaw effect.

Interest Rate vs Price When Buying Real Estate in 2023

We’ll use 8% as an example, since that’s the projected average for next year. (But this math will work whether your interest rate is 7%, 10%, etc.).

Let’s say our buyer can afford a $250,000 house with an 8% interest rate. We can calculate that their monthly payments would be $1,834.

That monthly payment amount is important. We tend to think of a buyer’s budget as the purchase price they can afford. But really, a buyer’s budget is the monthly payment they can afford.

Even if a buyer is willing to pay a higher purchase price with high interest rates, their lender may stop them. A buyer qualifies for a loan based on the affordability of the monthly payment.

For an interest rate of 8% in 2023, buying power looks like this:

You can plug any numbers you want into this formula to figure out affordability.

For example, let’s say interest rates are 9%. The affordability doesn’t change – our buyer could still only swing a $1,834/month payment. Therefore, this homebuyer’s buying power goes down to $228,000.

Cash Flow with High Interest Rates

As you can see, the higher the interest rate, the lower the price. This is why you should buy while interest rates are high. 

Prices will be lower than they have in a while. The challenge is that high interest rates make generating cash flow on properties more difficult. However, even if your rental property only breaks even every month – that’s fine for right now. 

A little temporary cash flow loss is worth it when you’re on the path to generational wealth. When interest rates come back down, cash flow will accelerate through the roof.

Let’s flash forward our 2023 example a few years in the future.

Building Equity with Real Estate in 2023

Say we bought that $250k house at 8% in 2023. Three or four years later, the market has stabilized. More money is flowing in the economy and in real estate, driving interest rates back down. Inflation has calmed down to normal levels. Now, let’s say the average interest rate is down to 5%.

What’s the affordability of that 5% rate with our buyer who could qualify for a $1,834/month payment? Now, they can qualify for a $341,000 house.

That means the house you bought for $250k in 2023 could be worth $341k by 2027. This one property could create $91,000 in equity.

Of course, this isn’t a guaranteed timeline or number. But we know it’s close. Real estate operates with the seesaw of rates and prices, affordability and payments.

Refinancing Once Rates Fall

So you have $91,000 in extra equity. But here’s where the cash flow starts to kick in: You can now refinance the property from an 8% rate to 5%.

Your original loan will be down to about $245,000 after 4 years of $1,834 monthly payments. Refinancing $245k at the new 5% interest rate makes for monthly payments of $1,315.

This refinance would increase your monthly cash flow by $519.

Multiply that by 12 months in a year. By 10 more properties… And you’re on the track to generational wealth.

Generational Wealth from the Last Recession

The true “secret” to generational wealth is buying at the right time, then… letting the market take care of itself.

Let’s map out the possibilities if you buy properties while interest is high and prices low, then wait.

Past Client Success

Back in 2010, we helped two families who were particularly successful buy 10 properties each using the BRRRR method.

After 12 years, each of the properties they purchased in 2010 either tripled or quadrupled in value. The rents tripled.

This worked because they bought smart and played the waiting game. They purchased with high rates and low prices, then refinanced once the rates flipped low and values high.

Your Future Success

Let’s say you buy 10 properties in 2023 while rates are high and prices low. Then you hold until the market flips for you – low rates and high values.

You can capture $90k-$100k in equity when the market flips back. Ten properties would add almost $1 million to your net worth.

When you add an extra $500/month in cash flow through a well-timed refinance, that makes for an extra $6,000 in your pocket per year. Multiplied by 10 properties? $60k/year.

All this – just for buying when no one else is buying. Buying when rates are high, values are low, and letting the market correct itself. 

Your Plan to Buy Real Estate in 2023

Buying low with high interest rates, waiting, and pulling in the generational wealth. It’s possible with real estate in 2023.

Want to build a game plan for kickstarting your generational wealth next year? Have a deal now you want us to run the numbers on? Send us an email at Info@TheCashFlowCompany.com.

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Real Estate Strategies So You Can Combat Rising Interest Rates

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It feels impossible to buy AND sell. Here are some real estate strategies to help combat rising interest rates.

Interest rates are averaging 7%.

Yet buyers can only afford the same payments they could when interest rates were 4%.

This reality of affordability puts buyers and sellers both in a tough spot – buyers can’t qualify for the price point they’d like to, and sellers can’t get rid of the flips they bought earlier this year.

What can you do to combat rising interest rates like this?

How a Buydown Impacts Your Listing Price

You end up with two main strategies to combat rising interest rates in this market:

  1. You can lower your price to make the monthly payment the same for the buyer, based on interest rates.
  2. You can buy down the rate for your buyer.

A buydown is a strategy where the seller pays in advance to bring down the interest rate for the buyer.

In our previous example of the $800,000 property, our target payment would be $3,800/month. What would the purchase price be if we took the 7% interest rate down by a percentage point? Could that get us closer to $3,800 without sacrificing as much purchase price?

Let’s say it would cost 2 points to bring the interest rate down to 6%. That interest rate would allow you to sell at $640,000, while still keeping the buyers’ monthly payment at $3,800/month.

Buying down the interest at a cost of 2 points would only cost you $12,800. Yet even with that buydown cost, you’d still make an additional $52,200 selling at $640,000 (compared to the $575,000 pre-buydown).

It becomes a win-win: the buyer can qualify for the $3,800/month payment, and the seller can ask for a higher price.

How to Price a Flip to Combat Rising Interest Rates

This example covered a higher-end, $800,000 house. Does all this math work the same at a lower price point?

Let’s look at a $250,000 instead.

At the beginning of 2022, a $250,000 house would have cost a homeowner $1,193/month. Now, that same house would cost the same person $1,663. That’s $470 more per month, or a 39% increase. From early 2022 to early 2023, the monthly payments will have gone up by 54%, to $1,834/month.

These numbers are still probably cheaper than rent for a comparable property. However, that doesn’t necessarily mean buyers will be able to qualify with lenders.

If someone could buy a $250,000 house at the beginning of 2022, now the same exact person could only afford $180,000. By next year, they can only afford $162,000.

This is why properties are sitting on the market. When prospective homeowners buy by payment, they can only afford 30-40% less in purchase price.

Buydown at $250,000

What if you try the buydown technique here?

If you paid 2 points, you could bring the interest rate down to 6%. This would cost you $4,000, but allow you to sell for $200,000. You’d net $16,000 more than if you were to sell at $180,000.

Sometimes, it’s not about price for the buyer. Many homebuyers are payment-motivated shoppers. Instead of lowering the price, try getting your buyer’s payment in line.

Read the full article here.

Watch the video here:

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How Interest Rates Impact Sellers and Buyers

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Rising interest rates impact both buying power and selling price. Here’s how.

When interest rates change, the monthly payment people can afford doesn’t. This results in buyers’ available price points dipping lower and lower.

People might be willing to pay a little more per month for a higher purchase price in this market. But that doesn’t matter if they can still only qualify for a loan with the original lower payment.

Let’s look at a real example from one of our recent clients about how they need to price their current flip.

Interest Rates’ Impact

Back in January, our client’s property would have sold for $800,000. That number was still on their mind as they brought the house to market a couple months ago.

However, back then, the interest rate would have been around 4%. This would have made the property’s monthly payment around $3,800.

Fast forward to now. If people are buying properties based on payment… Could this client still sell for $800,000?

The problem is: interest rates are now closer to 7%. 

Let’s look at how this impacts payment. If someone could qualify for the $3,800 payment back in January… then they qualified for that payment, not necessarily that purchase price.

If the target buyer can only budget/qualify for $3,800, then in order to keep that monthly payment with a 7% rate, the new price will need to be $575,000.

Why Is It Important to Know How to Price a Flip?

This client’s main motivation is that they want to clear off properties like this because they know better deals are coming. They need to be free to buy soon without past flips hanging over them.

Another motivation is: they don’t want to keep making payments on a property that will sell for even less in a year.

Next year, experts anticipate interest rates will be up to 8%. Affordability for this property would go down to $520,000. This client certainly doesn’t want to be caught with this property for sale in that market.

Read the full article here.

Watch the video here:

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What Are Interest Rates for Fix-and-Flip Loans in 2022?

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Here are current interest rates for fix-and-flip loans – and how should you move forward because of them.

What do rates look like for fix-and-flip loans currently?

You can probably guess – rates for all loans have gone up.

Interest Rates for Fix-and-Flip Loans

At The Cash Flow Company, we represent about five or six capital funds. We’re always looking for the ones with the best rates, but still – there’s nothing much available in capital funds lower than a 10-12% interest rate.

Six months ago, you could find these same loans for closer to 7-8%. This is the squeeze. This is the tightening the Fed wanted when they raised interest rates. Now it’s affecting your loans for fix-and-flips, but you can still get prepared for better opportunities.

Advice on Flips for the Next Few Months

There are a few things we recommend to set yourself up for success with flips in the next few months.

  • Smaller Projects – Smaller, lower price point homes tend to sell better in this type of market.
  • Bigger Neighborhoods – Outlier, rural properties were popular in the midst of the pandemic. But now those same properties are sticking on the market for a long time. Keep your flips inside a big, good neighborhood.
  • Aggressive Funding – Be proactive and relentless in your search for funding sources (or have someone searching on your behalf). When great new deals come, you’ll be one of the few investors who is ready.
    • Consider getting a HELOC on your home now so you have available funds when you need them.
    • Call banks and other lenders to stay updated on their requirements.
    • Find OPM lenders. Especially in an economy like this, people with money want safe, secure returns. Getting those people to fund your investments can help you take advantage of upcoming low prices.

Read the full article here.

Watch the video here:

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